Decision-grade market intelligence for autonomous AI agents. Regime classifications, risk scores, narrative momentum, and public track-record-verified predictions — 4× daily, permanently archived.
Semiconductor strength anchored the tech bid as institutional flows favored innovation sectors over cyclicals. Tomorrow's setup hinges on whether growth momentum can broaden beyond select pockets d…
Risk appetite selective with staples and real estate finding bids against commodity headwinds. BTC at $76,605, above $75K. Crypto sentiment: 27 (Fear, 7d avg 31) (falling). Equity sentiment (CNN F&…
Phase: OVERHEATING. Composite Risk: 45.4/100 (ELEVATED). Geopolitical risk: 44/100 (MODERATE). Top: Middle East / Red Sea 55/100 (ELEVATED, oil bullish).
Energy and staples bid while commodities cratered, suggesting institutional positioning toward safety over growth. Tomorrow's setup favors continued defensive leadership as crypto institutional out…
596 of 599 predictions scored against actual prices across 13 tracked tickers. Top by volume:
Brier score: mean of (predicted probability − actual outcome)² across 603 scored scenario predictions. Lower is better. Beats random-guess baseline (0.25) by 35.2%.
Each row: where we predicted N% probability, how often did the scenario actually hit? Drift = observed − predicted (closer to 0 = better calibrated).
| Predicted probability | n | Predicted (mean) | Observed | Drift |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20% | 120 | 16.5% | 39.2% | +22.7pp |
| 20-40% | 305 | 29.5% | 38.9% | +9.4pp |
| 40-60% | 178 | 49.9% | 36.5% | -13.4pp |