MACRO RADAR — Jun 30
Risk 100/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Mon 2026-06-29 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 30, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 100.0/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 49.8/100 (ELEVATED).
CRYPTO
BTC: $59,867 · ETH: $1,589 · SOL: $74.56
Crypto sentiment: 15 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 15).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.70%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T
US M2: $23.05T (YoY +5.58%)
HY Credit Spreads: 283bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.60 (-12.0% 30d, DOWN — WEAK_GLOBAL_TRADE).
Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
KEY PRICES
SPY +0.9% | QQQ +1.1% | VIX -4.1% | TLT +0.1% | DXY +0.2% | OIL -0.3%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▼ TKMS: -9.3%
▲ MOH: +6.3%
▲ XBI: +4.4%
▼ VIX: -4.1%
▼ EWY: -3.7%
▼ WPP: -3.3%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4074 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 30Y Treasury: -2.16σ
[+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ
[-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.84σ
[-] 10Y Treasury: -1.82σ
[-] Silver: -1.51σ
US OPEN SETUP
The overnight session hands the US open a setup where domestic defensives and growth healthcare outperformed while materials and crypto remain under distribution. Watch whether the volatility compression holds into the open or reverses on any macro surprise. International weakness and continued crypto ETF outflows suggest the risk-on tone is selective, not broad — fade overextended healthcare momentum and stay cautious on materials.
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