MACRO RADAR — Jun 29
Risk 100/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Fri 2026-06-26 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 29, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 100.0/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 50.7/100 (ELEVATED).
CRYPTO
BTC: $59,670 · ETH: $1,575 · SOL: $71.96
Crypto sentiment: 12 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 16) (falling).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.70%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T
US M2: $23.05T (YoY +5.58%)
HY Credit Spreads: 278bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.27 (-13.0% 30d, DOWN — WEAK_GLOBAL_TRADE).
Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
KEY PRICES
SPY -0.6% | QQQ -0.6% | VIX -2.5% | TLT flat | DXY flat | OIL +0.9%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ MOH: +14.1%
▼ TKMS: -12.4%
▲ XLV: +4.6%
▲ XBI: +3.8%
▼ WPP: -3.1%
▲ SLV: +2.9%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4074 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 30Y Treasury: -2.16σ
[+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ
[-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.84σ
[-] 10Y Treasury: -1.82σ
[-] Silver: -1.51σ
US OPEN SETUP
Overnight flow is decisively defensive — watch whether healthcare strength holds into the US open or fades as cash equities find their footing. Semis under pressure is a headwind for the broader growth trade; if the rotation into real estate and healthcare persists, fade any early tech bounce and position for continued sector leadership from defensives through the session.
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