Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
MACRO RADAR · June 29, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 100.0/100 · Composite 50.7
Risk Gauge: 100.0/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 50.7/100 (ELEVATED).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 100.0/100 (Critical)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 50.7/100 (ELEVATED)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $17.87T (YoY -2.70%)
- US M2
- $23.05T (YoY +5.58%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 278bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 12 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 16)
- BTC
- $59,670
- ETH
- $1,575
Crypto
BTC: $59,670 · ETH: $1,575 · SOL: $71.96 Crypto sentiment: 12 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 16) (falling).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.70%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T US M2: $23.05T (YoY +5.58%) HY Credit Spreads: 278bps NORMAL BDRY: $11.27 (-13.0% 30d, DOWN — WEAK_GLOBAL_TRADE). Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
Key Prices
SPY -0.6% | QQQ -0.6% | VIX -2.5% | TLT flat | DXY flat | OIL +0.9%
Overnight vs US Close
▲ MOH: +14.1% ▼ TKMS: -12.4% ▲ XLV: +4.6% ▲ XBI: +3.8% ▼ WPP: -3.1% ▲ SLV: +2.9%
Hegemony Snapback
1.5/6 — WATCH USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4074 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] 30Y Treasury: -2.16σ [+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ [-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.84σ [-] 10Y Treasury: -1.82σ [-] Silver: -1.51σ
US Open Setup
Overnight flow is decisively defensive — watch whether healthcare strength holds into the US open or fades as cash equities find their footing. Semis under pressure is a headwind for the broader growth trade; if the rotation into real estate and healthcare persists, fade any early tech bounce and position for continued sector leadership from defensives through the session. api.agentcanary.ai/api/docs npm i agentcanary-mcp Not financial advice