Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
MACRO RADAR · June 28, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 100.0/100 · Composite 49.5
Risk Gauge: 100.0/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 49.5/100 (ELEVATED).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 100.0/100 (Critical)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 49.5/100 (ELEVATED)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $17.87T (YoY -2.70%)
- US M2
- $23.05T (YoY +5.58%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 278bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 18 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 17)
- BTC
- $60,084
- ETH
- $1,571
Crypto
BTC: $60,084 · ETH: $1,571 · SOL: $70.67 Crypto sentiment: 18 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 17).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.70%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T US M2: $23.05T (YoY +5.58%) HY Credit Spreads: 278bps NORMAL BDRY: $11.40 (-12.0% 30d, DOWN — WEAK_GLOBAL_TRADE). Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
Key Prices
SPY -0.6% | QQQ -0.6% | VIX -2.5% | TLT flat | DXY -0.1% | OIL -3.7%
Overnight vs US Close
▲ MOH: +14.1% ▼ TKMS: -12.4% ▲ XLV: +4.6% ▲ XBI: +3.8% ▼ WTI: -3.7% ▼ BRENT: -3.5%
Hegemony Snapback
1.5/6 — WATCH USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4074 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] 30Y Treasury: -2.16σ [+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ [-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.84σ [-] 10Y Treasury: -1.82σ [-] Silver: -1.51σ
US Open Setup
Overnight the setup favors cautious positioning — healthcare and biotech strength overnight signals genuine defensive demand, not a one-session fluke. Watch whether semiconductor weakness deepens at the US open or stabilizes; a continued lag there alongside defensive leadership would confirm the rotation has legs heading into next week. api.agentcanary.ai/api/docs npm i agentcanary-mcp Not financial advice