MACRO RADAR — Jun 26
Risk 100/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Thu 2026-06-25 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 26, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 100.0/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 50.8/100 (ELEVATED).
CRYPTO
BTC: $58,497 · ETH: $1,524 · SOL: $66.09
Crypto sentiment: 13 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 19) (falling).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.79%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T
US M2: $23.05T (YoY +5.58%)
HY Credit Spreads: 271bps NORMAL (composite: CAUTION)
BDRY: $11.36 (-14.8% 30d, DOWN — WEAK_GLOBAL_TRADE).
Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
KEY PRICES
SPY +0.1% | QQQ +0.4% | VIX +1.4% | TLT +1.3% | DXY -0.1% | OIL +0.8%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ MOH: +9.9%
▲ EWY: +6.7%
▼ SLV: -6.0%
▲ TKMS: +5.2%
▼ COPX: -3.8%
▼ URA: -3.6%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
2/6 — WATCH
USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $3988 (R)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] Silver: -2.37σ
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.18σ
[+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ
[-] Gold: -2.12σ
[+] 10Y Real Rate: +1.95σ
US OPEN SETUP
Overnight flows favor watching whether industrial and semiconductor strength holds into the US open or fades after the gap. Metals and uranium weakness signals commodity-sensitive positioning is unwinding, so avoid chasing those. Crypto ETF outflows running multi-day suggest digital assets remain a headwind rather than a tailwind for broader risk sentiment at the open.
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