Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
MACRO RADAR · June 24, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 81.4/100 · Composite 46.4
Risk Gauge: 81.4/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 46.4/100 (ELEVATED).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 81.4/100 (Critical)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 46.4/100 (ELEVATED)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $17.87T (YoY -2.79%)
- US M2
- $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 265bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 17 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 19)
- BTC
- $62,579
- ETH
- $1,663
Crypto
BTC: $62,579 · ETH: $1,663 · SOL: $69.42 Crypto sentiment: 17 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 19).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.79%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%) HY Credit Spreads: 265bps NORMAL BDRY: $11.79 (-6.8% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING). Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
Key Prices
SPY -1.8% | QQQ -3.6% | VIX +18.8% | TLT -0.6% | DXY +0.4% | OIL -3.4%
Overnight vs US Close
▲ VIX: +18.8% ▼ EWY: -12.3% ▼ COPX: -7.0% ▼ SLV: -6.3% ▼ SMH: -5.7% ▼ SOXX: -5.6%
Hegemony Snapback
1.5/6 — WATCH USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4187 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.55σ [+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ [-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ [-] 30Y Treasury: -1.97σ [-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US Open Setup
The US open setup skews defensive: watch whether healthcare and real estate leadership is sustained or fades as liquidity returns. Semis and copper miners are under genuine pressure, not noise — fade any early bounce there without a clear catalyst reversal. Volatility elevation warrants reduced cyclical exposure heading into the session. api.agentcanary.ai/api/docs npm i agentcanary-mcp Not financial advice