MACRO RADAR — Jun 24
Risk 81/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Tue 2026-06-23 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 24, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 81.4/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 46.4/100 (ELEVATED).
CRYPTO
BTC: $62,579 · ETH: $1,663 · SOL: $69.42
Crypto sentiment: 17 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 19).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.79%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T
US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
HY Credit Spreads: 265bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.79 (-6.8% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING).
Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
KEY PRICES
SPY -1.8% | QQQ -3.6% | VIX +18.8% | TLT -0.6% | DXY +0.4% | OIL -3.4%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ VIX: +18.8%
▼ EWY: -12.3%
▼ COPX: -7.0%
▼ SLV: -6.3%
▼ SMH: -5.7%
▼ SOXX: -5.6%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4187 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.55σ
[+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ
[-] 30Y Treasury: -1.97σ
[-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US OPEN SETUP
The US open setup skews defensive: watch whether healthcare and real estate leadership is sustained or fades as liquidity returns. Semis and copper miners are under genuine pressure, not noise — fade any early bounce there without a clear catalyst reversal. Volatility elevation warrants reduced cyclical exposure heading into the session.
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