MACRO RADAR — Jun 23
Risk 66/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Mon 2026-06-22 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 23, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 66.3/100 (High). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 40.6/100 (MODERATE).
CRYPTO
BTC: $64,129 · ETH: $1,731 · SOL: $71.92
Crypto sentiment: 23 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20) (rising).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.98T (YoY -2.67%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T
US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
HY Credit Spreads: 263bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.57 (-4.4% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING).
Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
KEY PRICES
SPY +0.5% | QQQ +2.1% | VIX +3.0% | TLT -0.3% | DXY flat | OIL +0.3%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ SOXX: +9.2%
▲ SMH: +7.2%
▲ EWY: +6.8%
▼ RTX: -5.6%
▲ XBI: +4.6%
▲ XLK: +3.4%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4216 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.63σ
[-] HY Credit Spread: -2.62σ
[+] 2Y Treasury: +2.11σ
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ
[-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US OPEN SETUP
Overnight Asia and EU sessions are handing the US open a strong risk-on setup with growth and semiconductors firmly in the lead. Watch whether defense selling deepens into the open or stabilizes — that rotation is the tell for how committed this move is. Lean into tech and biotech momentum but stay alert to a reversal if macro headlines shift.
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