MACRO RADAR — Jun 22
Risk 23/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Fri 2026-06-19 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 22, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 23.1/100 (Low). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 31.9/100 (MODERATE).
CRYPTO
BTC: $64,193 · ETH: $1,736 · SOL: $73.76
Crypto sentiment: 20 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.98T (YoY -2.67%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T
US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
HY Credit Spreads: 263bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.57 (-4.4% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING).
Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
KEY PRICES
SPY -0.5% | QQQ +1.5% | VIX +2.3% | TLT +0.6% | DXY flat | OIL -1.7%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ SOXX: +8.2%
▲ SMH: +7.1%
▲ EWY: +6.5%
▼ SLV: -6.1%
▼ COPX: -4.8%
▼ WPP: -4.6%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4216 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.63σ
[-] HY Credit Spread: -2.62σ
[+] 2Y Treasury: +2.11σ
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ
[-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US OPEN SETUP
The overnight setup favors growth and semiconductor longs into the US open, with the Korea proxy confirming the move has geographic breadth. Metals weakness is a clear signal that commodity havens are being unwound in favor of risk assets. Watch whether energy extends its slide or stabilizes — if it does not recover, the rotation read is clean and the growth bid is likely to hold through the early session.
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