Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
MACRO RADAR · June 22, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 23.1/100 · Composite 31.9
Risk Gauge: 23.1/100 (Low). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 31.9/100 (MODERATE).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 23.1/100 (Low)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 31.9/100 (MODERATE)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $17.98T (YoY -2.67%)
- US M2
- $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 263bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 20 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20)
- BTC
- $64,193
- ETH
- $1,736
Crypto
BTC: $64,193 · ETH: $1,736 · SOL: $73.76 Crypto sentiment: 20 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $17.98T (YoY -2.67%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%) HY Credit Spreads: 263bps NORMAL BDRY: $11.57 (-4.4% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING). Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
Key Prices
SPY -0.5% | QQQ +1.5% | VIX +2.3% | TLT +0.6% | DXY flat | OIL -1.7%
Overnight vs US Close
▲ SOXX: +8.2% ▲ SMH: +7.1% ▲ EWY: +6.5% ▼ SLV: -6.1% ▼ COPX: -4.8% ▼ WPP: -4.6%
Hegemony Snapback
1.5/6 — WATCH USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4216 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.63σ [-] HY Credit Spread: -2.62σ [+] 2Y Treasury: +2.11σ [-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ [-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US Open Setup
The overnight setup favors growth and semiconductor longs into the US open, with the Korea proxy confirming the move has geographic breadth. Metals weakness is a clear signal that commodity havens are being unwound in favor of risk assets. Watch whether energy extends its slide or stabilizes — if it does not recover, the rotation read is clean and the growth bid is likely to hold through the early session. api.agentcanary.ai/api/docs npm i agentcanary-mcp Not financial advice