Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
MACRO RADAR · June 21, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 23.1/100 · Composite 31.3
Risk Gauge: 23.1/100 (Low). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 31.3/100 (MODERATE).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 23.1/100 (Low)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 31.3/100 (MODERATE)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $17.98T (YoY -2.67%)
- US M2
- $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 263bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 23 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20)
- BTC
- $64,176
- ETH
- $1,734
Crypto
BTC: $64,176 · ETH: $1,734 · SOL: $73.23 Crypto sentiment: 23 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20) (rising).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $17.98T (YoY -2.67%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%) HY Credit Spreads: 263bps NORMAL BDRY: $11.88 (-1.8% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING). Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
Key Prices
SPY -0.5% | QQQ +1.5% | VIX +2.3% | TLT +0.6% | DXY +0.8% | OIL -0.3%
Overnight vs US Close
▲ SOXX: +8.2% ▲ SMH: +7.1% ▲ EWY: +6.5% ▼ SLV: -6.1% ▼ COPX: -4.8% ▼ WPP: -4.6%
Hegemony Snapback
1.5/6 — WATCH USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4216 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.63σ [-] HY Credit Spread: -2.62σ [+] 2Y Treasury: +2.11σ [-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ [-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US Open Setup
With semiconductors surging and metals selling hard into the overnight session, the US open setup favors staying long growth and tech while fading commodity defensives. Watch whether Korean strength and chip momentum hold at the open or invite profit-taking. Crypto flows remain mixed with spot ETF outflows worth monitoring as a risk sentiment cross-check. api.agentcanary.ai/api/docs npm i agentcanary-mcp Not financial advice