MACRO RADAR — Jun 21
Risk 23/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Weekend brief — tradfi data reflects Fri 2026-06-19 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 21, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 23.1/100 (Low). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 31.3/100 (MODERATE).
CRYPTO
BTC: $64,176 · ETH: $1,734 · SOL: $73.23
Crypto sentiment: 23 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 20) (rising).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.98T (YoY -2.67%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T
US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
HY Credit Spreads: 263bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.88 (-1.8% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING).
Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, refinery 96.7%, SPR 340M.
KEY PRICES
SPY -0.5% | QQQ +1.5% | VIX +2.3% | TLT +0.6% | DXY +0.8% | OIL -0.3%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ SOXX: +8.2%
▲ SMH: +7.1%
▲ EWY: +6.5%
▼ SLV: -6.1%
▼ COPX: -4.8%
▼ WPP: -4.6%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4216 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 2s10s Curve: -2.63σ
[-] HY Credit Spread: -2.62σ
[+] 2Y Treasury: +2.11σ
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.11σ
[-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.78σ
US OPEN SETUP
With semiconductors surging and metals selling hard into the overnight session, the US open setup favors staying long growth and tech while fading commodity defensives. Watch whether Korean strength and chip momentum hold at the open or invite profit-taking. Crypto flows remain mixed with spot ETF outflows worth monitoring as a risk sentiment cross-check.
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