MACRO RADAR — Jun 19
Risk 23/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Thu 2026-06-18 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 19, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 23.1/100 (Low). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 32.8/100 (MODERATE).
Geopolitical risk: 32/100 (MODERATE). Top: Middle East / Red Sea 48/100 (MODERATE, natural_gas bullish).
CRYPTO
BTC: $64,231 · ETH: $1,743 · SOL: $71.68
Crypto sentiment: 14 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 18) (falling).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.97T (YoY -2.71%) — fed $6.73T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T
US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
HY Credit Spreads: 263bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.50 (-5.0% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING).
Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 418.2M bbl, SPR 340M.
KEY PRICES
SPY -0.5% | QQQ +1.5% | VIX -11.1% | TLT +0.6% | DXY +0.8% | OIL -1.6%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▼ VIX: -11.1%
▲ SOXX: +8.2%
▲ SMH: +7.1%
▲ EWY: +6.5%
▼ SLV: -6.1%
▼ COPX: -4.8%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4243 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -2.18σ
[+] Jobless Claims: +1.97σ
US OPEN SETUP
Overnight flows set up a constructive US open skewed toward growth and tech. Watch whether semiconductor strength broadens into wider equity participation or remains narrow. Commodity weakness suggests macro growth expectations are being repriced, not confirmed — monitor energy and copper for stabilization before adding cyclical exposure. Crypto ETF outflows remain a modest headwind for digital assets despite the altcoin bid.
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