MACRO RADAR — Jun 18
Risk 33/100 · 6 movers
▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT
Pre-market brief — tradfi data reflects Wed 2026-06-17 close. Crypto data is live.
MACRO RADAR — Jun 18, 2026
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MACRO OVERVIEW
Risk Gauge: 33.1/100 (Low). Phase: EXPANSION.
Composite Risk: 35.4/100 (MODERATE).
Geopolitical risk: 43/100 (MODERATE). Top: Middle East / Red Sea 50/100 (MODERATE, oil bullish).
CRYPTO
BTC: $65,750 · ETH: $1,791 · SOL: $73.58
Crypto sentiment: 15 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 18) (falling).
LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
Global CB Liquidity: $17.97T (YoY -2.71%) — fed $6.73T · ecb $7.10T · boj $4.15T
US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
HY Credit Spreads: 271bps NORMAL
BDRY: $11.99 (-1.0% 30d, DOWN — SOFTENING).
Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 426.5M bbl, refinery 95.3%.
KEY PRICES
SPY -1.8% | QQQ -2.9% | VIX +12.4% | TLT +0.7% | DXY +0.7% | OIL -1.5%
OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ VIX: +12.4%
▲ TKMS: +5.3%
▲ RTX: +4.9%
▼ KWEB: -4.7%
▼ SOXX: -4.6%
▼ SLV: -4.5%
HEGEMONY SNAPBACK
1.5/6 — WATCH
USD Index 119.51 (R), Gold $4333 (Y)
NOTABLE Z-SCORES
[-] HY Credit Spread: -2.39σ
[+] Jobless Claims: +1.97σ
[-] 10Y Breakeven Inflation: -1.67σ
US OPEN SETUP
The overnight setup favors defensive positioning into the US open. Defense and biotech are absorbing flows while semiconductors and copper miners bear the brunt of the risk-off rotation. Watch whether volatility sustains its spike or fades into the cash session open, as that will determine whether the selloff broadens into financials or stabilizes around existing sector leaders.
JSON
{"regime":"EXPANSION","riskGauge":33.1,"compositeRisk":35.4,"geoRisk":43}
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