THE RECORD

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

1 brief published · Risk gauge: 50/100

MORNING BRIEF 03:15 UTC
▲ Risk-On · Neutral · Gauge —/100
Risk-On · NeutralGAUGE —
Overheating regime · Fear & Greed: neutral · NORMAL
RISK GAUGE
50
HEGEMONY
Snapback0.5/6 NORMAL
MACRO RADAR — Apr 21, 2026

Risk-On · Neutral · OVERHEATING · Gauge: 0/100

• BTC: $75,572
• ETH: $2,306
• SOL: $85.23
• GOLD: $4,812
SPY: $708.72 (+1.0%)
QQQ: $646.79 (+1.0%)
VIX: 18.9 (+8.0%)
TLT: $87.05 (+0.9%)
DXY: 98.1 (+0.0%)
OIL: $86.61 (-0.9%)


LIQUIDITY & CREDIT
▼ Global CB Liquidity: $18.27T (YoY -2.91%)
US M2: $22.67T (YoY +4.88%)
▲ HY Credit Spreads: 286bps CALM (5d: -4bps)

NOTABLE Z-SCORES
▼ Fed Balance Sheet: +1.98σ
▲ 2Y Treasury: -1.94σ
▲ WTREGEN: -1.81σ
▲ IG Credit Spread: -1.80σ
▼ 2s10s Curve: +1.66σ

OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE
▲ NVDA: +9.6%
▼ ETH: -1.4%
▼ BTC: -1.0%
▼ SOL: -0.9%

TOP MOVERS
▲ VIX $18.87 (+8.0%)
▼ M $3.30 (-6.0%)
▲ DEXE $14.60 (+5.0%)
▲ TKMS $89.00 (+4.8%)
▲ ZRO $1.67 (+3.7%)
▲ SOXX $418 (+2.9%)
▼ XLE $55.07 (-2.7%)
▲ XLI $174 (+2.1%)

HEGEMONY SNAPBACK ▲: 0.5/6 — NORMAL
If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses — stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds
— Oil: $101 (>$95)

agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

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