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MACRO RADAR · April 21, 2026 · 03:15 UTC

· OVERHEATING · Gauge: 0/100 • BTC:

MACRO RADAR · April 21, 2026, 03:15 UTC

(YoY -2.91%) US M2: $22.67T (YoY +4.88%) ▲ HY Credit Spreads:

Key indicators

US M2
$22.67T (YoY +4.88%)

Risk-on · Neutral

· OVERHEATING · Gauge: 0/100 • BTC:

$75,572

• ETH:

$2,306

• SOL:

$85.23

• GOLD:

$4,812

SPY:

$708.72

(+1.0%) QQQ:

$646.79

(+1.0%) VIX:

18.9

(+8.0%) TLT:

$87.05

(+0.9%) DXY:

98.1

(+0.0%) OIL:

$86.61

(-0.9%)

Liquidity & Credit

▼ Global CB Liquidity:

$18.27t

(YoY -2.91%) US M2: $22.67T (YoY +4.88%) ▲ HY Credit Spreads:

286bps

CALM (5d: -4bps)

Notable Z-scores

▼ Fed Balance Sheet: +1.98σ ▲ 2Y Treasury: -1.94σ ▲ WTREGEN: -1.81σ ▲ IG Credit Spread: -1.80σ ▼ 2s10s Curve: +1.66σ

Overnight vs US Close

▲ NVDA: +9.6% ▼ ETH: -1.4% ▼ BTC: -1.0% ▼ SOL: -0.9%

Top Movers

▲ VIX $18.87 (+8.0%) ▼ M $3.30 (-6.0%) ▲ DEXE $14.60 (+5.0%) ▲ TKMS $89.00 (+4.8%) ▲ ZRO $1.67 (+3.7%) ▲ SOXX $418 (+2.9%) ▼ XLE $55.07 (-2.7%) ▲ XLI $174 (+2.1%)

Hegemony Snapback

▲: 0.5/6 —

Normal

If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses — stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds — Oil: $101 (>$95) agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice