Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
MACRO RADAR · June 27, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 100.0/100 · Composite 50.1
Risk Gauge: 100.0/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 50.1/100 (ELEVATED).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 100.0/100 (Critical)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 50.1/100 (ELEVATED)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $17.87T (YoY -2.70%)
- US M2
- $23.05T (YoY +5.58%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 278bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 15 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 18)
- BTC
- $60,197
- ETH
- $1,581
Crypto
BTC: $60,197 · ETH: $1,581 · SOL: $72.06 Crypto sentiment: 15 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 18) (falling).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $17.87T (YoY -2.70%) — fed $6.74T · ecb $7.02T · boj $4.12T US M2: $23.05T (YoY +5.58%) HY Credit Spreads: 278bps NORMAL (composite: CAUTION) BDRY: $11.24 (-13.2% 30d, DOWN — WEAK_GLOBAL_TRADE). Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 412.1M bbl, refinery 96.1%, SPR 331M.
Key Prices
SPY -0.6% | QQQ -0.6% | VIX -2.5% | TLT flat | DXY -0.1% | OIL -2.3%
Overnight vs US Close
▲ MOH: +14.1% ▼ TKMS: -12.4% ▲ XLV: +4.6% ▲ XBI: +3.8% ▼ WPP: -3.1% ▲ SLV: +2.9%
Hegemony Snapback
1.5/6 — WATCH USD Index 120.40 (R), Gold $4023 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] 30Y Treasury: -2.60σ [+] USD Index (broad): +2.15σ [-] Silver: -1.92σ [-] 10Y Treasury: -1.85σ [-] WTI Crude Oil: -1.84σ
US Open Setup
Overnight price action favors a cautious open for US equities, with the defensive leadership in healthcare and real estate suggesting market participants are hedging rather than extending risk. Watch whether semiconductor weakness deepens at the open or stabilizes as a buying opportunity. Crypto ETF outflows running for a full week add overhead pressure to digital assets despite altcoin pockets of strength. api.agentcanary.ai/api/docs npm i agentcanary-mcp Not financial advice