Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 433.7M bbl, refinery 94.7%, SPR 357M.
MACRO RADAR · June 9, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 88.3/100 · Composite 48.3
Risk Gauge: 88.3/100 (Critical). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 48.3/100 (ELEVATED). Geopolitical risk: 40/100 (MODERATE). Top: Middle East / Red Sea 55/100 (ELEVATED, natural_gas bullish).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 88.3/100 (Critical)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 48.3/100 (ELEVATED)
- Geopolitical Risk
- 40/100 (MODERATE)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $18.08T (YoY -2.84%)
- US M2
- $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 274bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 10 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 11)
- BTC
- $62,842
- ETH
- $1,667
Macro Overview
Top: Middle East / Red Sea 55/100 (ELEVATED, natural_gas bullish).
Crypto
BTC: $62,842 · ETH: $1,667 · SOL: $65.85 Crypto sentiment: 10 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 11).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $18.08T (YoY -2.84%) — fed $6.71T · ecb $7.20T · boj $4.17T US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%) HY Credit Spreads: 274bps NORMAL (composite: CAUTION) BDRY: $12.70 (+16.5% 30d, DOWN — BULLISH_SHIPPING). Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 433.7M bbl, refinery 94.7%, SPR 357M.
Key Prices
SPY -2.4% | QQQ -3.3% | VIX -12.0% | TLT -1.0% | DXY -0.1% | OIL -0.7%
Overnight vs US Close
▼ VIX: -12.5% ▲ INTC: +11.2% ▲ IONQ: +10.6% ▲ XPRO: +10.1% ▲ MU: +9.9% ▲ MRVL: +9.6%
Hegemony Snapback
2/6 — WATCH USD Index 118.88 (R), Gold $4319 (Y), Oil $96 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] Gold: -2.17σ [+] Jobless Claims: +1.96σ [-] Silver: -1.92σ [-] VIX: -1.56σ
US Open Setup
Setup favors defensive positioning into US open with staples and healthcare leading while metals and crypto face continued pressure. Watch for any reversal signals in semiconductor weakness or further volatility compression.