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MARKET WRAP · May 25, 2026 · 21:15 UTC

Growth sectors reasserted control with semiconductors leading while crypto found footing…

MARKET WRAP · May 25, 2026, 21:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 72.1/100

Growth sectors reasserted control with semiconductors leading while crypto found footing despite persistent institutional outflows.

Key indicators

Risk Gauge
72.1/100 (High)
Regime Phase
EXPANSION

Daily Synthesis

Growth sectors reasserted control with semiconductors leading while crypto found footing despite persistent institutional outflows. The defensive bid that dominated recent sessions gave way to renewed appetite for risk assets. Tomorrow's setup hinges on whether tech momentum can sustain without institutional crypto participation.

Closing Prices

SPY +0.6% | QQQ +0.6% | VIX -0.7% | TLT +0.9% | DXY -0.1% | OIL flat

vs Morning

SPY flat | QQQ flat | VIX -0.3% | TLT flat | DXY +0.2% | OIL flat

Evening News

▲ BitMine Immersion Technologies lands on preliminary Russell 1000 list, eyeing billions in passive fund inflows ▲ D-Wave Stock Skyrockets 62% After Q1 Earnings: Time to Buy QBTS? ▼ Netanyahu declares war on Hezbollah amid rising tensions with Lebanon ▲ Bitcoin Crash Warning Emerges as Analyst Sees Bearish Cycle ▼ XRP Faces Pressure as Bitcoin Dominance Tightens Market Grip

Scenario Shifts

↑ Late Cycle · ↑ Recession · ↓↓ Goldilocks · ↑ Stagflation · ↑ Hegemony

Regime Check

Risk Gauge: 72.1/100 (High). Phase: EXPANSION.

Sector Close

Top sectors: SMH +2.1%, URA +1.9%, XLU +1.9%, XLC -0.6%, XLP -0.8%. Sector dispersion: 57 (HIGH, breadth BROAD_STRENGTH), 81% positive 1w.

Upcoming — High Impact

[USA] Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index(May) — May 26 14:00 UTC (prev: 92.8) [UK] Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Apr) — May 27 06:00 UTC (prev: 3.3%) [FRA] Composite Consumer Confidence Index(May) — May 27 06:45 UTC (prev: 84) [USA] Last week's Red Book Commercial Retail Sales (YoY)(to 0518) — May 27 12:55 UTC (prev: 8.1%) [CAN] GDP(MoM)(Feb) — May 28 00:03 UTC (prev: 0.1%) [FRA] Producer Price Index (MoM)(Apr) (+1 variants) — May 28 06:45 UTC (prev: 2.0%)

Contrarian

• KWEB's -4.3% drop may be overdone given UOB's assessment that AI tailwinds are offsetting conflict drag in Asia • BRENT's -3.2% decline despite Netanyahu declaring war on Hezbollah suggests energy markets are pricing recession over supply disruption risk