Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 452.9M bbl, refinery 91.7%, SPR 384M.
MACRO RADAR · May 16, 2026, 03:15 UTC
Global CB Liquidity: $18.24T (YoY -2.95%) — fed $6.73T · ecb $7.28T · boj $4.23T US M2: $22.69T (YoY +4.57%) HY Credit Spreads: 276bps NORMAL (composite: CAUTION) BDRY: $13.03 (+31.1% 30d, UP — BULLISH_SHIPPING).
Key indicators
- Global CB Liquidity
- $18.24T (YoY -2.95%)
- US M2
- $22.69T (YoY +4.57%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 276bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 31 (Fear, 7d avg 42)
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $18.24T (YoY -2.95%) — fed $6.73T · ecb $7.28T · boj $4.23T US M2: $22.69T (YoY +4.57%) HY Credit Spreads: 276bps NORMAL (composite: CAUTION) BDRY: $13.03 (+31.1% 30d, UP — BULLISH_SHIPPING). Oil: SUPPLY_TIGHTENING, crude 452.9M bbl, refinery 91.7%, SPR 384M.
Key Prices
SPY -0.4% | QQQ -0.8% | VIX +6.8% | TLT -1.3% | DXY +0.4% | OIL flat Crypto sentiment: 31 (Fear, 7d avg 42) (falling).
Overnight vs US Close
▼ SLV: -13.0% ▼ COPX: -9.6% ▼ KWEB: -7.9% ▲ VIX: +6.8% ▼ URA: -6.3% ▼ FXI: -5.4%
Top Movers
Top movers: SLV -13.0%, KWEB -7.9%, VIX +6.8%, FXI -5.4%, EWY -5.2%, RENDER +3.8%.
Hegemony Snapback
👀 1.5/6 — WATCH
Notable Z-scores
[-] 2s10s Curve: -1.96σ [+] 30Y Treasury: +1.74σ [+] 10Y Treasury: +1.65σ
US Open Setup
Energy outperformance suggests commodity rotation intact despite metals weakness. Watch for US session follow-through on Asia risk-off tone or potential reversal if volatility spike proves overdone. agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice