April 11, 2026 — The Record

03:15

RADAR

MACRO RADAR 03:15 UTC #

▲ Risk-On · Neutral · Gauge —/100

EXPANSION. F&G: —. NORMAL.

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MACRO RADAR — Apr 11, 2026 ▲ Risk-On · Neutral · EXPANSION · Gauge: 0/100 • BTC:

$73,008

• ETH:

$2,249

• SOL:

$84.83

• GOLD:

$4,760

SPY: $679.46 (+0.5%) QQQ: $611.07 (+0.8%) VIX: 19.2 (-1.3%) TLT: $86.49 (-0.5%) DXY: 98.7 (-0.2%) OIL: $95.63 (-2.3%)

LIQUIDITY & CREDIT

▼ Global CB Liquidity: $18.05T (YoY -2.98%) US M2: $22.67T (YoY +4.88%) ▲ HY Credit Spreads: 294bps CALM (5d: -22bps)

NOTABLE Z-SCORES

▼ 30Y Mortgage Rate: +2.53σ ▲ HY Credit Spread: -2.41σ ▼ WTI Crude Oil: +2.24σ ▲ WTREGEN: -2.19σ ▼ Fed Balance Sheet: +2.00σ

OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE

▲ NVDA: +2.2% ▼ SOL: -0.7%

TOP MOVERS

▼ TKMS $82.90 (-7.1%) ▲ ARB $0.1187 (+5.7%) ▲ EWZ $41.33 (+4.5%) ▲ SOXX $387 (+4.4%) ▼ ZEC $370 (-3.5%) ▼ ZRO $1.93 (-3.5%) ▲ SMH $437 (+3.3%) ▲ ILF $37.82 (+2.8%) HEGEMONY SNAPBACK ▲: 1/6 —

NORMAL

If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses — stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds ▼ Oil: $114 (>$110) agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

09:15

SIGNAL

SIGNAL SCAN 09:15 UTC #

SIGNAL SCAN — Apr 11, 2026

Risk 0/100 · 8 movers

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

SIGNAL SCAN — April 11, 2026

SNAPSHOT

Risk-on session with clear sector rotation. Tech/semis rallying while energy sells off on oil weakness. Cross-asset divergence as precious metals gain alongside growth assets, suggesting mixed regime signals.

MACRO RISK DASHBOARD

Risk Gauge: 0.0/100 (Calm) Regime: EXPANSION — liquidity expanding with HY spreads tightening Key prices: SPY +0.5% | QQQ +0.8% | VIX -1.3% | TLT -0.5% | DXY -0.1% | OIL -1.3% ICSA: 219K (z-score 0.76, trending down)

FORWARD SCENARIOS

SCENARIO A — Tech Leadership Extension SPY: $695-715 (+2-5%) QQQ: $635-665 (+4-9%) VIX: $16-18 (-15-6%) SCENARIO B — Energy Rotation Reversal OIL: $105-115 (+9-19%) XLE: recovery +3-8% DXY: $100-102 (+1-3%) SCENARIO C — Metals Breakout GLD: $450-470 (+3-8%) SLV: $72-78 (+4-13%) TLT: $89-92 (+3-6%)

SECTOR STRENGTH

1. Semiconductors (SMH +3.3%) — strong 2. Consumer Disc (XLY +1.9%) — rotating 3. Copper Miners (COPX +1.8%) — bid 4. Real Estate (XLRE +0.9%) — rotating 5. Energy (XLE -1.9%) — dump

BIG MOVES + DRIVERS

TKMS -7.1% — ROE concerns highlighted in analysis coverage EWZ +4.5% — oil above $90 thesis driving LatAm play SOXX +4.4% — semiconductor sector leadership continuing SMH +3.3% — chip rally broadening beyond mega-caps SLV +2.4% — precious metals bid amid expansion signals MORPHO -2.7% — DeFi protocol weakness in broader crypto rotation Expansion regime driving cyclical rotation while precious metals signal underlying inflation hedging demand.

POSITIONING

BTC whale activity: $38.5M long vs $100.2M short exposure, -$2.6M PnL suggests institutional profit-taking near $73K BTC ETF flows: -$212.3M outflow signals institutional distribution at highs ETH positioning cleaner with modest short covering

IMPLICATION

Tactical opportunity in semiconductor momentum while energy oversold. Mixed precious metals strength suggests hedging infrastructure build despite expansion signals. agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

15:15

PULSE

MARKET PULSE 15:15 UTC #

BTC BULL_REGIME on daily. 100 whale moves detected.

BTC 1d:Bullish 4h:Distribution · ETH 1d:Bullish 4h:Distribution · SOL 1d:Bullish 4h:Distribution

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MARKET PULSE — Apr 11, 2026

CRYPTO

• BTC: $72,716 — 1d: BULL_REGIME | 4h: DISTRIBUTION • ETH: $2,243 — 1d: BULL_REGIME | 4h: DISTRIBUTION • SOL: $84.4 — 1d: BULL_REGIME | 4h: DISTRIBUTION

WHALE ALERTS

• 183,872,761 USDT ($183,843,342) transferred from unknown wallet to #Okex • 102,831,152 USDC ($102,795,880) transferred from unknown wallet to #Aave • 102,801,728 USDC ($102,770,785) transferred from #Aave to unknown wallet FUNDING ARB (OI>$5M, spread<1%) • RAVE: 521% net APR (0.2781% rate) Long Bybit / Short Bitget | OI: $26.1M | Spread: 0.18%

LIQUIDATIONS (24h)

• Total: $22,304,253 | Longs: 33% | L/S: 0.5:1

SCENARIO

↑ Late Cycle · ↓ Goldilocks · ↑ Stagflation · ↑ Hegemony · ↑ Displacement

INTEL

▲ Bitcoin Rally Amid Macro Uncertainty [BTC, ETH, COIN] — Crypto Regulation and Institutional Adoption [DOT, HOOD, WLFI] agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

21:15

WRAP

MARKET WRAP 21:15 UTC #

Markets wrestled with conflicting signals as Bitcoin's institutional breakout to $73k collided with …

EXPANSION. 15 news items. 6 scenario shifts.

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MARKET WRAP — Apr 11, 2026 Markets wrestled with conflicting signals as Bitcoin's institutional breakout to $73k collided with CPI's jump to 3.3%, forcing a hawkish Fed repricing. Risk assets held gains despite rising stagflation fears, suggesting crypto momentum is temporarily overpowering traditional macro headwinds.

CLOSING PRICES

BTC: $73,425 · ETH: $2,303 · SOL: $85.48 · GOLD: $4,760 · SPY: $679.46 (+0.5%) · QQQ: $611.07 (+0.8%) · VIX: $19.23 (-1.3%) · TLT: $86.49 (-0.5%) · DXY: $98.7 (-0.1%) · OIL: $96.57 (-1.3%)

SECTOR CLOSE

▲ SMH (Semiconductors) +11.4% · COPX (Copper Miners) +8.7% · XLB (Materials) +3.1% ▼ XLE (Energy) -3.9% · XLV (Healthcare) +0.3% · XLP (Consumer Staples) +0.6%

SIGNALS

— Crypto / Bitcoin (intensity 71) — BTC, ETH

EVENING NEWS

▼ Should You Be Investing in Bitcoin... or a Basket of Diversified Cryptocurrencies? ▼ WLFI Token Hits All-Time Low Amid World Liberty’s DeFi Lending Controversy ▼ Bhutan Kingdom Quietly Unwinds 70% of Its Bitcoin Reserve in 18 Months ▲ Ethereum Holds $2.2K Support as Bullish Momentum Builds While Whale Accumulation Slows ▲ US CPI Jumps in March as Energy Prices Surge While Core Inflation Stays Stable ▲ Securitize Integrates With TRON to Bring Tokenized Real-World Assets to a Global Blockchai

SCENARIO SHIFTS

▲ Late Cycle: Fed holding rates steady and asset rotation patterns confirm late-cycle dynamics ▲ Recession: Software sector collapse and inflation persistence increase recession probability ▼ Goldilocks: Hot inflation data and Fed hawkish pivot crush soft landing hopes ▲ Stagflation: Rising inflation with growth concerns and commodity strength ▲ Hegemony: Iran tensions and Chagos Islands reversal show geopolitical stress ▲ Displacement: Bitcoin institutional adoption and crypto yields falling below TradFi

REGIME CHECK

▲ Risk-On · Neutral · EXPANSION · Gauge: 0/100

UPCOMING — HIGH IMPACT

US Unseasonally Adjusted Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 24, 06:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.4%) US Retail sales (MoM)(Mar) — Apr 21, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 0.6%) US New home sales (AAMR)(Feb) — Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: -17.6%) EU Consumer Price Index (MoM)(Final)(Mar) — Apr 16, 09:00 AM UTC (prev: 1.2%) EU Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Final)(Mar) — Apr 16, 09:00 AM UTC (prev: 2.5%) GDP (QoQ)(Q1) — Apr 16, 02:00 AM UTC (prev: 1.2%)

CONTRARIAN

• Bitcoin's surge on hot inflation data suggests it's becoming an inflation hedge rather than a risk a • Software stock capitulation may be overdone - AI advancement could drive rapid recovery once rate fe agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

April 11, 2026 — The Record

▲ Risk-On · Neutral · Gauge —/100

$73,008

$2,249

$84.83

$4,760

LIQUIDITY & CREDIT

NOTABLE Z-SCORES

OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE

TOP MOVERS

NORMAL

SIGNAL SCAN — Apr 11, 2026

SNAPSHOT

MACRO RISK DASHBOARD

FORWARD SCENARIOS

SECTOR STRENGTH

BIG MOVES + DRIVERS

POSITIONING

IMPLICATION

BTC BULL_REGIME on daily. 100 whale moves detected.

CRYPTO

WHALE ALERTS

LIQUIDATIONS (24h)

SCENARIO

INTEL

Markets wrestled with conflicting signals as Bitcoin's institutional breakout to $73k collided with …

CLOSING PRICES

SECTOR CLOSE

SIGNALS

EVENING NEWS

SCENARIO SHIFTS

REGIME CHECK

UPCOMING — HIGH IMPACT

CONTRARIAN

72H TRACK RECORD

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