April 1, 2026 — The Record

03:15

RADAR

MACRO RADAR 03:15 UTC #

▼ Risk-Off · Neutral · Gauge 95.2/100

RECOVERY. F&G: —. NORMAL.

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MACRO RADAR — Apr 1, 2026 ▼ Risk-Off · Neutral · RECOVERY · Gauge: 95.2/100 • BTC:

$67,726

• ETH:

$2,091

• SOL:

$82.67

• GOLD:

$4,682

SPY: $650.34 (+2.6%) QQQ: $577.18 (+2.6%) VIX: 25.3 (-17.5%) TLT: $86.69 (+1.2%) DXY: 99.8 (-0.7%) OIL: $103.15 (+0.3%)

LIQUIDITY & CREDIT

▼ Global CB Liquidity: $18.02T (YoY -3.3%) US M2: $22.67T (YoY +4.88%) ▲ HY Credit Spreads: 346bps CALM (5d: +27bps)

NOTABLE Z-SCORES

▼ 30Y Mortgage Rate: +2.58σ ▼ HY Credit Spread: +2.28σ ▼ DTWEXBGS: +1.93σ ▼ Fed Balance Sheet: +1.50σ — 10Y Real Rate: +1.17σ

TOP MOVERS

▼ VIX $25.25 (-17.5%) ▲ APLD $23.78 (+15.4%) ▲ SOUN $6.88 (+14.3%) ▲ BE $135 (+12.9%) ▲ MRVL $99.08 (+12.8%) ▲ ALGO $0.09602 (+12.0%) ▲ ONDO $0.2712 (+5.4%) ▲ RENDER $1.75 (+4.8%) HEGEMONY SNAPBACK ▲: 1/6 —

NORMAL

If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses — stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds ▼ USD Index: 120.8851 (>110) agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

09:15

SIGNAL

SIGNAL SCAN 09:15 UTC #

SIGNAL SCAN — Apr 1, 2026

Risk 95.2/100 · 8 movers

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

SIGNAL SCAN — April 01, 2026

SNAPSHOT

Risk-on surge driven by Iran de-escalation reports, but cross-asset divergence emerging. Stocks ripping +2.5% while crypto faces quantum threats and Bitcoin approaches historic underperformance streak. Energy shock unwinding temporarily lifts growth assets.

MACRO RISK DASHBOARD

Risk Gauge: 95.2/100 (Critical) Regime: Transitional Recovery — geopolitical relief masking energy-driven inflation pressures SPY: +2.56% | QQQ: +2.60% | VIX: -1.90% | TLT: +1.23% | DXY: -0.48% | OIL: -2.04% ICSA: 210K (trending down, -0.35σ)

FORWARD SCENARIOS

SCENARIO A — Geopolitical Relief Rally SPY: $670-685 (+3-5%) BTC: $72-75K (+5-10%) OIL: $90-95 (-7-10%) SCENARIO B — Quantum Panic Accelerates BTC: $58-62K (-10-15%) ETH: $1800-1950 (-8-15%) SPY: $620-635 (-2-5%) SCENARIO C — Energy Shock Resurges OIL: $110-120 (+10-20%) TLT: $75-80 (-8-13%) DXY: 102-105 (+3-5%)

SECTOR STRENGTH

1. Copper Miners (COPX +7.9%) — strong 2. Biotech (XBI +7.5%) — rotating 3. Uranium (URA +6.9%) — bid 4. Semiconductors (SMH +5.8%) — strong 5. Technology (XLK +4.2%) — rotating

BIG MOVES + DRIVERS

APLD $23.78 (+15.4%) — earnings anticipation Wednesday, AI data center positioning SOUN $6.875 (+14.3%) — rebound from record lows, AI momentum BE $134.90 (+12.9%) — inflation hedge positioning as oil threatens growth GLD $430.29 (+3.8%) — safe haven bid amid quantum/energy uncertainty SLV $68.14 (+7.3%) — industrial demand meets precious metals rotation Defensive assets outperforming despite equity rally signals underlying structural concerns persist.

POSITIONING

BTC whales: $24M long vs $27M short, net negative bias with +$8M PnL ETH positioning: slight short bias at $9.6M long/$10.9M short, -$494K PnL BTC ETF flows: flat at $0.0M net, ending streak patterns Notable: 5,500 BTC ($366M) moved after 5-year dormancy from Gemini whale

IMPLICATION

Tactical long precious metals vs tech momentum while geopolitical relief window remains open. Hedge quantum risk in crypto positions — defensive rotation accelerating despite headline strength suggests underlying fragility. agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

15:15

PULSE

MARKET PULSE 15:15 UTC #

BTC ACCUMULATION on daily. 100 whale moves detected.

BTC 1d:Accumulation 4h:Ignition · ETH 1d:Accumulation 4h:Distribution · SOL 1d:Accumulation 4h:Ignition

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MARKET PULSE — Apr 1, 2026

CRYPTO

• BTC: $68,495 — 1d: ACCUMULATION | 4h: IGNITION • ETH: $2,125 — 1d: ACCUMULATION | 4h: DISTRIBUTION • SOL: $83.28 — 1d: ACCUMULATION | 4h: IGNITION

WHALE ALERTS

• 758 BTC ($52,003,103) transferred from Coinbase Institutional to unknown wallet • 758 BTC ($51,823,779) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional • 169,837,284 USDT ($169,771,485) transferred from #Bitfinex to unknown wallet

FUNDING ARB

No quality arbs today (all below OI/spread filters)

LIQUIDATIONS (24h)

• Total: $89,525,363 | Longs: 17% | L/S: 0.2:1

SCENARIO

↑ Late Cycle · ↓ Goldilocks · ↑ Stagflation · ↓ Hegemony · ↑ Displacement

INTEL

▼ Bitcoin Under Pressure [BTC, ETH, SOL] ▲ Geopolitical De-escalation Hopes [SPY, QQQ, BTC] ▼ Quantum Computing Threat Acceleration [BTC, crypto infrastructure, cybersecurity stocks] agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

21:15

WRAP

MARKET WRAP 21:15 UTC #

Markets exhibited a maturing decoupling narrative today, with crypto assets finding institutional fo…

RECOVERY. 10 news items. 5 scenario shifts.

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MARKET WRAP — Apr 1, 2026 Markets exhibited a maturing decoupling narrative today, with crypto assets finding institutional footing amid municipal adoption waves while traditional equities weakened on late-cycle concerns. The VIX spike to 24.54 and bond strength reflected growing recession hedging as institutional flows increasingly treat digital assets as a separate risk class.

CLOSING PRICES

BTC: $68,178 · ETH: $2,144 · SOL: $82.62 · GOLD: $4,769 · SPY: $655.24 (+3.7%) · QQQ: $584.31 (+4.7%) · VIX: $24.54 (-2.8%) · TLT: $86.26 (-0.6%) · DXY: $99.57 (-0.4%) · OIL: $98.91 (-2.4%)

SECTOR CLOSE

▲ XBI (Biotech) +4.6% · XLE (Energy) -3.0% · XLU (Utilities) +2.0% ▼ ITA (Aerospace/Defense) -0.2% · XLP (Consumer Staples) -0.0% · XLI (Industrials) +0.1%

SIGNALS

— Crypto / Bitcoin (intensity 100) — BTC, ETH — Defense / Geopolitics (intensity 67) — ITA, LMT, RTX

EVENING NEWS

— B2Gold Corp. (BTG) Discovers Significant Mineral Resource at Back River Gold District — Why Newmont Stock Surged on Wednesday — QCI Introduces New Operational Solutions at IGA 2026 — These Three Altcoins Just Got Leveraged Crypto ETFs — Wall Street Turns Tactical on Constellation Brands With $170 Target Into Earnings — No Foolin': ADP Jobs Led by Small Companies

SCENARIO SHIFTS

▲ Late Cycle: Stock weakness with crypto stability suggests late cycle rotation patterns ▲ Recession: Equity slides point to growing recession concerns in traditional markets ▼ Goldilocks: Market divergence and stock weakness contradict goldilocks stability ▲ Hegemony: Municipal crypto adoption shows institutional acceptance strengthening US crypto leadership ▲ Displacement: Decoupling and government adoption indicate crypto displacing traditional finance roles

REGIME CHECK

▼ Risk-Off · Neutral · RECOVERY · Gauge: 95.2/100

UPCOMING — HIGH IMPACT

US University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index (Preliminary)(Apr) — Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 53.3) US Unseasonally Adjusted Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 10, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.4%) US Core Consumer Price Index (Unseasonally Adjusted) (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 10, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.5%) Consumer Price Index for Residents (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 10, 01:30 AM UTC (prev: 1.3%) US Personal income (MoM)(Feb) — Apr 9, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 0.4%) US Personal consumption expenditure (MoM)(Feb) — Apr 9, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 0.4%)

CONTRARIAN

• The crypto-stock decoupling may be temporary correlation breakdown rather than permanent structural • Municipal Bitcoin bonds could face regulatory backlash that reverses institutional adoption momentum agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

April 1, 2026 — The Record

▼ Risk-Off · Neutral · Gauge 95.2/100

$67,726

$2,091

$82.67

$4,682

LIQUIDITY & CREDIT

NOTABLE Z-SCORES

TOP MOVERS

NORMAL

SIGNAL SCAN — Apr 1, 2026

SNAPSHOT

MACRO RISK DASHBOARD

FORWARD SCENARIOS

SECTOR STRENGTH

BIG MOVES + DRIVERS

POSITIONING

IMPLICATION

BTC ACCUMULATION on daily. 100 whale moves detected.

CRYPTO

WHALE ALERTS

FUNDING ARB

LIQUIDATIONS (24h)

SCENARIO

INTEL

Markets exhibited a maturing decoupling narrative today, with crypto assets finding institutional fo…

CLOSING PRICES

SECTOR CLOSE

SIGNALS

EVENING NEWS

SCENARIO SHIFTS

REGIME CHECK

UPCOMING — HIGH IMPACT

CONTRARIAN

72H TRACK RECORD

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