· STAGFLATION · Gauge: 93.5/100 • BTC:
MACRO RADAR · March 18, 2026, 03:15 UTC
(YoY -3.39%) US M2: $22.44T (YoY +4.29%) 🟢 HY Credit Spreads:
Key indicators
- US M2
- $22.44T (YoY +4.29%)
Risk-off · Neutral
· STAGFLATION · Gauge: 93.5/100 • BTC:
$74,494
• ETH:
$2,342
• SOL:
$95.09
• GOLD:
$5,000
SPY:
$670.79
(+1.3%) QQQ:
$603.31
(+1.6%) VIX:
22.4
(-4.8%) TLT:
$87.45
(+1.1%) DXY:
99.6
(+0.0%) OIL:
$92.44
(-3.9%)
Liquidity & Credit
🔴 Global CB Liquidity:
$17.99t
(YoY -3.39%) US M2: $22.44T (YoY +4.29%) 🟢 HY Credit Spreads:
327bps
CALM (5d: +8bps)
Notable Z-scores
🔴 WTI Crude Oil: +2.80σ 🔴 IG Credit Spread: +2.22σ 🔴 DTWEXBGS: +2.21σ 🔴 HY Credit Spread: +1.84σ 🔴 Fed Balance Sheet: +1.69σ
Overnight vs US Close
🔴 NVDA: -1.3%
Top Movers
🟢 EWY $134 (+8.3%) 🔴 VIX $22.37 (-4.8%) 🔴 OIL $92.44 (-3.9%) — China: Fiscal support seen offsetting Oil shock – TD Securit 🔴 MOH $144 (-3.5%) 🟢 EWZ $36.71 (+3.4%) 🔴 FET $0.2355 (-2.5%) 🔴 PENDLE $1.33 (-2.2%) 🟢 ATOM $2.00 (+2.0%)
Hegemony Snapback
🟢: 1/6 —
Normal
If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses — stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds 🔴 USD Index: 120.5518 (>110) agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice