Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 433.7M bbl, refinery 94.7%, SPR 357M.
MACRO RADAR · June 7, 2026, 03:15 UTC · Regime EXPANSION · Risk 47.7/100 · Composite 41.2
Risk Gauge: 47.7/100 (Elevated). Phase: EXPANSION. Composite Risk: 41.2/100 (MODERATE). Geopolitical risk: 34/100 (MODERATE). Top: Russia-Ukraine 44/100 (MODERATE, palladium bullish).
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 47.7/100 (Elevated)
- Regime Phase
- EXPANSION
- Composite Risk
- 41.2/100 (MODERATE)
- Geopolitical Risk
- 34/100 (MODERATE)
- Global CB Liquidity
- $18.08T (YoY -2.84%)
- US M2
- $22.80T (YoY +4.72%)
- HY Credit Spreads
- 274bps (NORMAL)
- Crypto Sentiment
- 12 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 16)
- BTC
- $60,788
- ETH
- $1,561
Macro Overview
Top: Russia-Ukraine 44/100 (MODERATE, palladium bullish).
Crypto
BTC: $60,788 · ETH: $1,561 · SOL: $62.09 Crypto sentiment: 12 (Extreme Fear, 7d avg 16) (falling).
Liquidity & Credit
Global CB Liquidity: $18.08T (YoY -2.84%) — fed $6.71T · ecb $7.20T · boj $4.17T US M2: $22.80T (YoY +4.72%) HY Credit Spreads: 274bps NORMAL (composite: CAUTION) BDRY: $12.70 (+16.5% 30d, DOWN — BULLISH_SHIPPING). Oil: SUPPLY_GLUT, crude 433.7M bbl, refinery 94.7%, SPR 357M.
Key Prices
SPY -2.2% | QQQ -5.3% | VIX +39.7% | TLT -0.3% | DXY +0.7% | OIL -2.7%
Overnight vs US Close
▼ IPWR: -18.6% ▼ UMAC: -17.3% ▼ LWLG: -16.8% ▼ MRVL: -16.7% ▼ LPTH: -15.3% ▼ RGTI: -14.4%
Hegemony Snapback
2/6 — WATCH USD Index 118.88 (R), Gold $4319 (Y), Oil $96 (Y)
Notable Z-scores
[-] Gold: -2.17σ [-] 2s10s Curve: -2.06σ [-] Silver: -1.92σ [+] Jobless Claims: +1.60σ [-] VIX: -1.56σ
US Open Setup
Asian session setup points to continued tech pressure with defensive rotation intact. Watch for any stabilization signals in semiconductor space or further volatility expansion if selling accelerates.