SPY -0.4% | QQQ -0.8% | VIX +6.8% | TLT -1.3% | DXY +0.4% | OIL flat
MARKET WRAP · May 15, 2026, 21:15 UTC · Risk 36.1/100
SPY -0.4% | QQQ -0.8% | VIX +6.8% | TLT -1.3% | DXY +0.4% | OIL flat
Key indicators
- Risk Gauge
- 36.1/100 (Low)
Closing Prices
SPY -0.4% | QQQ -0.8% | VIX +6.8% | TLT -1.3% | DXY +0.4% | OIL flat
vs Morning
SPY -1.8% | QQQ -2.6% | VIX +10.2% | TLT -1.3% | DXY -0.1% | OIL -1.3%
Evening News
▲ Malaysia: Growth risks and steady rates – UOB ▲ China Allows Exports for 425 US Beef Plants, Trade Group Says ▼ THORChain exploit raises fresh concerns over MPC wallet security ▼ Gold sinks 2% as Iran war fuels fresh inflation shock ▲ US Dollar Index climbs to five-week high as hawkish Fed bets gather pace
Scenario Shifts
↑ Late Cycle · ↓↓ Goldilocks · ↑ Stagflation · ↑ Hegemony
Regime Check
Risk Gauge: 36.1/100 (Low). Regime: OVERHEATING.
Sector Close
Top sectors: XLE +3.1%, XLF +0.2%, URA -6.3%, COPX -9.6%. Sector dispersion: 70 (EXTREME, breadth SELECTIVE_WEAKNESS), 25% positive 1w.
Upcoming — High Impact
[JPN] Real GDP (AQR) (Preliminary)(Q1) — May 17 18:50 UTC (prev: 1.3%) [CHN] Total retail sales of consumer goods (MoM)(Apr) (+1 variants) — May 18 02:00 UTC (prev: 0.14%) [UK] CBI retail sales difference(May) — May 18 10:00 UTC (prev: -68) [UK] CBI Retail Sales Expectation Index(May) — May 18 10:00 UTC (prev: -60)
Contrarian
• Fed may be behind the curve but markets are overreacting - inflation could prove transitory again if supply chains normalize • Dollar strength may be self-limiting as it eventually hurts US exports and corporate earnings, potentially forcing Fed dovishness agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice