May 9, 2026 — The Record

03:15

RADAR

MACRO RADAR 03:15 UTC #

▲ Risk-On · Neutral · Gauge 36.5/100

EXPANSION. F&G: —. NORMAL.

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MACRO RADAR — May 9, 2026 ▲ Risk-On · Neutral · EXPANSION · Gauge: 36.5/100 • BTC:

$80,377

• ETH:

$2,316

• SOL:

$93.45

• GOLD:

$4,724

SPY: $737.62 (+0.5%) QQQ: $711.23 (+2.2%) VIX: 17.2 (+0.6%) TLT: $86.08 (+0.0%) DXY: 97.8 (-0.4%) OIL: $94.68 (-0.1%)

LIQUIDITY & CREDIT

▼ Global CB Liquidity: $18.22T (YoY -3.05%) US M2: $22.69T (YoY +4.57%) ▲ HY Credit Spreads: 279bps CALM (5d: -4bps)

NOTABLE Z-SCORES

▲ IG Credit Spread: -1.67σ — Silver: +1.45σ — WTI Crude Oil: +1.43σ — Fed Balance Sheet: +1.42σ — 2Y Treasury: +1.38σ

OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE

▲ NVDA: +16.7% ▲ SOL: +1.5%

TOP MOVERS

▲ ICP $3.88 (+12.1%) ▼ TKMS $78.70 (-8.1%) ▲ DASH $51.51 (+7.4%) ▲ SUI $1.09 (+6.7%) ▼ MOH $186 (-5.8%) ▲ EWY $190 (+4.5%) ▲ SLV $73.01 (+4.1%) ▲ XLK $176 (+3.2%) HEGEMONY SNAPBACK ▲: 0.5/6 —

NORMAL

If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses — stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds — Oil: $110 (>$95) agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

09:15

SIGNAL

SIGNAL SCAN 09:15 UTC #

SIGNAL SCAN — May 9, 2026

Risk 36.5/100 · 8 movers

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

SIGNAL SCAN — May 9, 2026

SNAPSHOT

Risk-on tech momentum meets crypto capitulation as Apple/Intel deal drives semis while Bitcoin breaks $80K on massive ETF outflows. Global inflation surprises building policy pressure, but equity momentum intact with SPX hitting fresh 7,400 ATH.

MACRO RISK DASHBOARD

Risk Gauge: 36.5/100 (Low) Regime: EXPANSION — HY spreads tightening despite inflation upticks SPY +0.5% | QQQ +2.2% | VIX +0.6% | TLT 0% | DXY -0.4% | OIL +0.6% ICSA: 200K (flat trend, below historical avg)

FORWARD SCENARIOS

SCENARIO A — Tech Consolidation Accelerates SPY: $760-780 (+3-6%) QQQ: $750-780 (+5-10%) BTC: $75K-78K (-6-3%) SCENARIO B — Inflation Shock Repricing SPY: $700-720 (-5-2%) TLT: $82-84 (-5-2%) DXY: $102-105 (+4-7%) SCENARIO C — Crypto Capitulation Complete BTC: $85K-90K (+6-12%) ETH: $2450-2600 (+6-12%) QQQ: $690-710 (-3-0%)

SECTOR STRENGTH

1. Technology (XLK +3.2%) — momentum 2. Semiconductors (SMH +3.1%) — bid 3. Copper Miners (COPX +2.9%) — strong 4. Energy (XLE -2.3%) — weak 5. Uranium (URA -5.3%) �� dump

BIG MOVES + DRIVERS

ICP +12.1% — broader crypto rotation despite BTC weakness TKMS -8.1% — European undervaluation concerns per analyst coverage SUI +6.7% — software narrative gaining traction vs infrastructure tokens TON +5.6% — AI robotics hype and altcoin momentum surge EWY +4.5% — Korea exposure benefiting from tech consolidation SLV +4.1% — precious metals catching inflation hedge bid Cross-asset dislocation emerging as tech consolidation drives equity strength while crypto faces institutional outflow pressure.

POSITIONING

BTC ETF flows: +$531M inflow (13-day streak) — institutional accumulation continues despite price weakness creating entry opportunity Whale activity: ZEC longs profitable (+$4.7M), HYPE shorts underwater (-$4.1M), mixed crypto positioning suggests uncertainty

IMPLICATION

Tech momentum sustainable with Apple/Intel validation of reshoring theme, but crypto weakness creates tactical entry if ETF flows persist. Consider long semis vs crypto beta trade while monitoring inflation repricing risk. agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

15:15

PULSE

MARKET PULSE 15:15 UTC #

BTC DISTRIBUTION on daily. 100 whale moves detected.

BTC 1d:Distribution 4h:Distribution · ETH 1d:Distribution 4h:Distribution · SOL 1d:Bullish 4h:Distribution

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MARKET PULSE — May 9, 2026

CRYPTO

• BTC: $80,237 — 1d: DISTRIBUTION | 4h: DISTRIBUTION • ETH: $2,302 — 1d: DISTRIBUTION | 4h: DISTRIBUTION • SOL: $92.58 — 1d: BULL_REGIME | 4h: DISTRIBUTION

WHALE ALERTS

• 68,159 ETH ($157,608,425) transferred from unknown wallet to #Binance • 30,000 ETH ($69,374,545) transferred from unknown wallet to #Binance • 199,997,999 USDT ($199,978,326) transferred from #Binance to unknown wallet FUNDING ARB (OI>$5M, spread<1%) • LAB: 380% net APR (0.1285% rate) Long Binance / Short Bitget | OI: $94.8M | Spread: -0.35% • SAHARA: 255% net APR (0.1131% rate) Long OKX / Short Bitget | OI: $8.1M | Spread: -0.10% • SIREN: 304% net APR (0.0957% rate) Long Bitget / Short Bybit | OI: $9.4M | Spread: -0.32%

LIQUIDATIONS (24h)

• Total: $12,568,320 | Longs: 31% | L/S: 0.5:1

SCENARIO

↑ Late Cycle · ↑ Recession · ↓ Goldilocks · ↑ Stagflation · ↓ Hegemony · ↑ Displacement

INTEL

▼ Crypto Institutional Selling Pressure [BTC, ETH, COIN] agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

21:15

WRAP

MARKET WRAP 21:15 UTC #

Markets reflected late-cycle dynamics as geopolitical tensions drove energy higher while crypto face…

EXPANSION. 16 news items. 5 scenario shifts.

▾EXPAND BRIEF CONTENT

MARKET WRAP — May 9, 2026 Markets reflected late-cycle dynamics as geopolitical tensions drove energy higher while crypto faced institutional headwinds despite solid price levels. The goldilocks scenario weakened amid persistent inflation pressures and rising stagflation risks, creating a cautious risk-on environment with elevated uncertainty across asset classes.

CLOSING PRICES

BTC: $80,854 · ETH: $2,331 · SOL: $93.33 · GOLD: $4,724 · SPY: $737.62 (+0.5%) · QQQ: $711.23 (+2.2%) · VIX: $17.19 (+0.6%) · TLT: $86.08 (+0.0%) · DXY: $97.84 (-0.4%) · OIL: $95.42 (+0.6%)

EVENING NEWS

▲ Trump-Backed American Bitcoin Posts $82M Loss Despite Record BTC Mining Output ▲ Anza reports first successful Alpenswitch on Alpenglow cluster, Solana finalization time i ▲ Inflation Drumbeat Persists for Unnerved US Consumer ▲ China’s April exports rebound 14.1% as trade surplus widens ahead of Trump visit ▼ TeraWulf doubles AI revenue but posts $427M quarterly loss as mining income declines ▲ Bittensor’s TAO token launches on Solana as Grayscale opens Bittensor Trust for private pl

SCENARIO SHIFTS

▲ Late Cycle: Crypto institutional adoption and inflation pressures signal mature cycle dynamics ▼ Goldilocks: Inflation persistence and geopolitical tensions challenge benign conditions ▲ Stagflation: Energy disruption and persistent inflation amid growth concerns ▲ Hegemony: Geopolitical tensions and political instability challenge existing order ▲ Displacement: Tech consolidation and crypto institutional shift show structural changes

REGIME CHECK

▲ Risk-On · Neutral · EXPANSION · Gauge: 36.5/100

UPCOMING — HIGH IMPACT

Real GDP (AQR) (Preliminary)(Q1) — May 18, 11:50 PM UTC (prev: 1.3%) Real GDP(QoQ)(Preliminary)(Q1) — May 18, 11:50 PM UTC (prev: 0.3%) Real GDP(billion yen)(Preliminary)(Q1) — May 18, 11:50 PM UTC (prev: 591856.70) starting value of nominal GDP annum (billion yen)(Q1) — May 18, 11:50 PM UTC (prev: 671554.90) Total retail sales of consumer goods (YoY)(Apr) — May 18, 02:00 AM UTC (prev: 1.7%) US Federal Funds Benchmark Rate — May 15, 07:00 PM UTC (prev: 3.50% - 3.75%)

CONTRARIAN

• Bitcoin ETF outflows might signal healthy consolidation before next leg up, not institutional abando • Energy supply disruptions could accelerate renewable transition faster than expected, benefiting cle agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice

May 9, 2026 — The Record

▲ Risk-On · Neutral · Gauge 36.5/100

$80,377

$2,316

$93.45

$4,724

LIQUIDITY & CREDIT

NOTABLE Z-SCORES

OVERNIGHT vs US CLOSE

TOP MOVERS

NORMAL

SIGNAL SCAN — May 9, 2026

SNAPSHOT

MACRO RISK DASHBOARD

FORWARD SCENARIOS

SECTOR STRENGTH

BIG MOVES + DRIVERS

POSITIONING

IMPLICATION

BTC DISTRIBUTION on daily. 100 whale moves detected.

CRYPTO

WHALE ALERTS

LIQUIDATIONS (24h)

SCENARIO

INTEL

Markets reflected late-cycle dynamics as geopolitical tensions drove energy higher while crypto face…

CLOSING PRICES

EVENING NEWS

SCENARIO SHIFTS

REGIME CHECK

UPCOMING — HIGH IMPACT

CONTRARIAN

72H TRACK RECORD

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