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MARKET WRAP · April 24, 2026 · 21:15 UTC

▲ US expands naval blockade on Iran, reducing odds of near-term lifting ▲ US stocks race…

MARKET WRAP · April 24, 2026, 21:15 UTC

▲ US expands naval blockade on Iran, reducing odds of near-term lifting ▲ US stocks race ahead of Europe as Wall Street shrugs off energy shock ▲ PHP: BSP tightening supports Peso but risks linger – OCBC ▼ Israeli media…

Closing Prices

BTC:

$77,747

· ETH:

$2,327

· SOL:

$86.86

· GOLD:

$4,715

· SPY:

$713.94

(+0.4%) · QQQ:

$663.88

(+1.3%) · VIX:

$18.71

(-3.1%) · TLT:

$86.71

(-0.0%) · DXY:

$98.51

(-0.3%) · OIL:

$94.88

(-1.0%)

Evening News

▲ US expands naval blockade on Iran, reducing odds of near-term lifting ▲ US stocks race ahead of Europe as Wall Street shrugs off energy shock ▲ PHP: BSP tightening supports Peso but risks linger – OCBC ▼ Israeli media alleges IDF looting in Lebanon, complicates ceasefire talks ▼ Iran stalls on US talks, peace deal odds plummet ▼ US-Iran talks to resume in Pakistan without VP Vance this weekend

Scenario Shifts

▲ Late Cycle: US market strength and crypto accumulation suggest continued risk appetite ▼ Goldilocks: Geopolitical tensions and energy disruptions threaten balanced growth ▲ Stagflation: Iran blockade raises energy prices while EM tightening signals inflation pressure ▲ Hegemony: US outperformance and naval blockade demonstrate economic and military dominance ▲ Displacement: Bitcoin institutional adoption continues despite traditional market stress

Regime Check

Risk-on · Neutral

· OVERHEATING · Gauge: 8.9/100

Upcoming — High Impact

US Durable goods orders (MoM) (Revised) (Mar) — May 4, 02:00 PM UTC EU Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (Final)(Apr) — May 4, 08:00 AM UTC (prev: 52.2) US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(Apr) — May 1, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 52.7) Producer Price Index (YoY)(Q1) — May 1, 01:30 AM UTC (prev: 3.5%) US API crude oil inventory transmutation last week (10,000 barrels)(to 0424) — Apr 30, 10:00 PM UTC (prev: -447) US Personal consumption expenditure price index (AQR)(Preliminary)(Q1) — Apr 30, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.9%)

Contrarian

• Market resilience to Middle East tensions may be overconfident - energy supply disruptions could cas • Bitcoin exchange outflows might signal retail capitulation rather than institutional accumulation, a agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice