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MARKET WRAP · April 18, 2026 · 21:15 UTC

▼ Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, fires on vessels, escalating US-Iran tensions ▲ Solana…

MARKET WRAP · April 18, 2026, 21:15 UTC

▼ Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, fires on vessels, escalating US-Iran tensions ▲ Solana futures open interest rose by 20% this week: Is $100 SOL next? ▼ Bitcoin mining difficulty falls, but projected to rise in next adjus…

Closing Prices

BTC:

$75,749

· ETH:

$2,353

· SOL:

$86.17

· GOLD:

$4,854

· SPY:

$710.14

(+1.5%) · QQQ:

$648.85

(+1.8%) · VIX:

$17.48

(-2.6%) · TLT:

$87.07

(+0.3%) · DXY:

$98.23

(+0.0%) · OIL:

$82.59

(-12.8%)

Evening News

▼ Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, fires on vessels, escalating US-Iran tensions ▲ Solana futures open interest rose by 20% this week: Is $100 SOL next? ▼ Bitcoin mining difficulty falls, but projected to rise in next adjustment ▲ Ethereum Hits All-Time High in Quarterly Network Activity ▲ RAVE Pump-and-Dump Allegations Spark $25,000 Bounty and Exchange Pressure ▲ Bitcoin STHs realize gains: Correction or short squeeze, what’s ahead?

Scenario Shifts

▲ Late Cycle: Bitcoin surge and Fed caution suggest asset bubbles amid tightening policy ▲ Goldilocks: Hormuz reopening reduces supply chain risks without overheating economy ▲ Stagflation: Fed warns of lasting price shocks while Iran toll creates new inflation pressure ▲ Hegemony: Iran crisis and European coalition-building show fracturing global order ▲ Displacement: Crypto surge past major resistance suggests accelerating digital asset adoption

Regime Check

Risk-on · Neutral

· OVERHEATING · Gauge: 0/100

Upcoming — High Impact

US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index(Apr) — Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 91.8) Unemployment Rate(Mar) — Apr 27, 11:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.6%) US Unseasonally Adjusted Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 24, 06:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.4%) US University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index (Final)(Apr) — Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 53.3) National Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 23, 11:30 PM UTC (prev: 1.3%) US Durable goods orders (MoM)(Mar) — Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: -1.4%)

Contrarian

• Iran's $2M vessel toll and ongoing disputes suggest the Hormuz 'resolution' is temporary theater - t • Bitcoin's surge to $78K on geopolitical relief rather than fundamental adoption may signal a vulnera agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice