▼ US-Iran ceasefire odds drop significantly as traders express skepticism ▲ Bitcoin…

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▼ US-Iran ceasefire odds drop significantly as traders express skepticism ▲ Bitcoin surges over 4% to surpass $70,300 amid short liquidations and ETF inflows ▲ US ISM Services Sector Keeps Solid Expansion in March but Hit by Transport Cost Spike, Mid ▲ Higher for longer: Wells Fargo expects the Fed to hold rates at 3.50%–3.75% through 2026 ▲ Vietnam: Inflation surge and SBV policy stance – UOB ▲ PIMCO Expands Active ETF Lineup With Timely Inflation-Linked Launch

▲ Late Cycle: Fed higher for longer with employment softening but services resilient ▼ Goldilocks: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions preclude goldilocks scenario ▲ Stagflation: Transport cost spikes, persistent inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty ▲ Hegemony: US-Iran tensions escalating with Trump taking aggressive stance ▲ Displacement: Bitcoin institutional adoption accelerating with infrastructure improvements

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· EXPANSION · Gauge: 42.9/100

EU Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Final)(Mar) — Apr 16, 09:00 AM UTC (prev: 2.5%) EU Consumer Price Index (MoM)(Final)(Mar) — Apr 16, 09:00 AM UTC (prev: 1.2%) GDP (QoQ)(Q1) — Apr 16, 02:00 AM UTC (prev: 1.2%) GDP (YoY)(Q1) — Apr 16, 02:00 AM UTC (prev: 4.5%) Total retail sales of consumer goods (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 16, 02:00 AM UTC (prev: 2.8%) US Producer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 14, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 3.4%)

• Bitcoin's surge to $70K+ may be driven more by short liquidations than genuine institutional demand, • The market is underestimating how quickly geopolitical tensions could derail crypto adoption if trad agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice