▲ Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds…
MARKET WRAP · April 4, 2026, 21:15 UTC
▲ Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds ▼ Ceasefire odds drop to 1% as protests erupt in Tel Aviv amid escalating tensions ▼ Bitcoin Drops To Bottom Discovery Range For Fi…
Closing Prices
BTC:
$67,235
· ETH:
$2,063
· SOL:
$80.85
· GOLD:
$4,673
· SPY:
$655.83
(+0.8%) · QQQ:
$584.98
(+1.4%) · VIX:
$23.87
(+0.0%) · TLT:
$86.79
(+0.1%) · DXY:
$100.19
(+0.5%) · OIL:
$112.06
(+11.9%)
Evening News
▲ Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds ▼ Ceasefire odds drop to 1% as protests erupt in Tel Aviv amid escalating tensions ▼ Bitcoin Drops To Bottom Discovery Range For First Time In 4 Years In Sharp Selloff ▼ Iranian regime collapse odds drop to 13.5% after US aircraft losses ▼ Fed Rate Cut Bets Collapse as Jobs Data Shocks Markets; 10-year Treasury Yield Hits Critic ▲ HORMUZ TRACKER: Weekly Transits Reach Highest Since War Began
Scenario Shifts
▲ Late Cycle: Fed hold expectations and crypto retail exodus suggest cycle maturity ▼ Goldilocks: Geopolitical tensions and inflation fears disrupt balanced growth ▲ Stagflation: War-driven oil price risks with persistent employment strength ▲ Hegemony: US-Iran tensions test American military projection capabilities ▲ Displacement: Continued crypto institutional adoption despite market volatility
Regime Check
▼
Risk-off · Neutral
· EXPANSION · Gauge: 47.3/100
Upcoming — High Impact
US Producer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 14, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 3.4%) Trade Balance (billion USD)(Mar) — Apr 13, 04:05 PM UTC (prev: 213.62) US NAR seasonally adjusted existing home sales (AAMR)(Mar) — Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 1.7%) US University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index (Preliminary)(Apr) — Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 53.3) US Unseasonally Adjusted Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 10, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.4%) US Core Consumer Price Index (Unseasonally Adjusted) (YoY)(Mar) — Apr 10, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 2.5%)
Contrarian
• Bitcoin's 'failed' safe haven narrative might actually signal maturation into a risk asset, making i • Strong employment data masking underlying weakness could make the Fed more dovish than markets expec agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice