▲ XLE (Energy) +3.7% · XBI (Biotech) +1.3% · XLB (Materials) +2.8% ▼ COPX (Copper Miners)…
MARKET WRAP · March 26, 2026, 21:15 UTC
▲ XLE (Energy) +3.7% · XBI (Biotech) +1.3% · XLB (Materials) +2.8% ▼ COPX (Copper Miners) -2.1% · URA (Uranium) -3.3% · SMH (Semiconductors) -3.6%
Closing Prices
BTC:
$68,883
· ETH:
$2,068
· SOL:
$86.83
· GOLD:
$4,364
· SPY:
$645.09
(-1.2%) · QQQ:
$573.79
(-1.7%) · VIX:
$27.44
(+8.3%) · TLT:
$86.11
(+0.1%) · DXY:
$99.87
(+0.3%) · OIL:
$93.47
(+3.5%)
Sector Close
▲ XLE (Energy) +3.7% · XBI (Biotech) +1.3% · XLB (Materials) +2.8% ▼ COPX (Copper Miners) -2.1% · URA (Uranium) -3.3% · SMH (Semiconductors) -3.6%
Signals
— Crypto / Bitcoin (intensity 90) — BTC, ETH
Evening News
▲ After a $1.2 billion run, XRP ETFs just flipped from inflows to outflows ▼ Asian Stocks to Drop as Trump Extends Iran Talks: Markets Wrap ▲ Bitcoin gained 655% the last time this supply in profit metric dropped to 50% ▼ Crypto drops alongside equities as risk-off sentiment spreads across markets ▼ MARA Sells 15,000 BTC for $1.1 Billion to Retire Convertible Debt ▼ Bitcoin, Ethereum Slip as Trump Says He's 'Not Desperate' to End Iran War
Scenario Shifts
▲ Late Cycle: Crypto profit-taking and nonbank credit growth signal mature cycle dynamics ▲ Recession: Broad risk-off sentiment and asset liquidations increase recession probability ▼ Goldilocks: Multiple headwinds eliminate conditions for balanced growth environment ▲ Stagflation: Geopolitical tensions driving energy costs while growth concerns mount ▲ Hegemony: Iran tensions highlight ongoing U.S. geopolitical engagement requirements
Regime Check
▼
Risk-off · Neutral
· STAGFLATION · Gauge: 81.2/100
Upcoming — High Impact
US Durable goods orders (MoM) (Revised) (Feb) — Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 0.0%) US Seasonally adjusted changes in non-agricultural employment population (thousands)(Mar) — Apr 3, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: -92) US Unemployment Rate(Mar) — Apr 3, 12:30 PM UTC (prev: 4.4%) Caixin Services Purchasing Managers Index(Mar) — Apr 3, 01:45 AM UTC (prev: 56.7) Caixin Composite Purchasing Managers Index(Mar) — Apr 3, 01:45 AM UTC (prev: 55.4) US Durable goods orders (MoM)(Final)(Feb) — Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC (prev: 0.0%)
Contrarian
• Bitcoin's historical 655% gain after 50% supply-in-profit metric suggests current weakness could be • MARA's debt retirement through Bitcoin sales may signal confident balance sheet optimization rather agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice