Risk Gauge: ββββββββββββββββββββ 43.2/100 Growth:
MACRO RADAR Β· March 6, 2026, 03:15 UTC
Risk Gauge: ββββββββββββββββββββ 43.2/100 Growth:
Macro Regime
π’ Regime:
Risk-on Β· Neutral
Cycle:
Stagflation
Risk Gauge: ββββββββββββββββββββ 43.2/100 Growth:
β
| Inflation:
Prices
β’ BTC:
$70,656
β’ ETH:
$2,062
β’ SOL:
$87.53
β’ GOLD:
$5,080
SPY:
$681.31
(+0.1%) QQQ:
$608.91
(+1.2%) VIX:
24.8
(+4.3%) TLT:
$88.79
(-0.7%) DXY:
99.3
(-0.1%) OIL:
$84.73
(+4.6%) USDT Dom:
7.68%
β Normal
Notable Z-scores
π΄ WTI Crude Oil: +3.02Ο π΄ 2Y Treasury: +1.61Ο π’ 30Y Mortgage Rate: -1.57Ο π‘ 2s10s Curve: -1.43Ο π‘ Fed Balance Sheet: +1.42Ο
Overnight vs US Close
π’ VIX: +4.3% π΄ SOL: -1.8% π΄ ETH: -0.9% π΄ BTC: -0.7% π΄ NVDA: -0.6%
Intel Digest
Riskβon sentiment dominates as institutional crypto inflows surge amid geopolitical tensions, but oil supply shocks and a potential Chinese slowdown inject volatility. π’
Bitcoin ETF Inflows & Rally
[BTC, ETH, SOL] Bitcoin tops $72,000 as spot ETF inflows hit $155 M, matching goldβs 15βyear cumulative flows in under two years, signal π΄
Oil Supply Disruption From Iran Conflict
[OIL, GOLD] Iranβs escalation forces diesel and gasoline export suspensions, pushing oil prices higher and creating a supply shock t π΄
Crypto Regulatory Pushback
[BTC, ETH, SOL] Krakenβs Fed master account sparks bank backlash, raising regulatory uncertainty and potential volatility for crypto ass π’
Ai Big Tech Energy Pledge
[NVDA, PLTR] Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI, Oracle, and xAI commit to fund electricity supply and grid upgrades to meet AI π’ BTC:
Buy
β Strong institutional inflows and ETF momentum support a bullish stance. π΄ OIL:
Sell
β Supply shock and price volatility suggest a shortβterm downside. π’ NVDA:
Buy
β AI energy pledge and positive tech sentiment boost valuation. π
Contrarian
Sell BTC now despite the rally, anticipating a pullback due to fragile demand and potential regulato Buy OIL, betting on longβterm supply constraints from the Iran conflict.
Hegemony Snapback
π: 1.5/6 β
Watch
If the US topples adversarial regimes and reasserts hegemony, the multipolar mega-trade reverses β stronger dollar, weaker gold, short rates, and EM rotation unwinds π΄ USD Index: 117.8223 (>110) π‘ 2Y Yield: 3.54% (<3.6%) agentcanary.ai | Not financial advice